Budget crisis

Projected school gap

Run forward on our assumed rates, the schools are $932,531 short in FY2028 and $4,676,182 in FY2033.

Projected school gap by yearour estimate
Gap that year (ours)New that year (ours)
Gap that year (ours)New that year (ours)
FY2028$932,531$932,531
FY2029$1,535,097$572,717
FY2030$2,205,046$621,142
FY2031$2,947,857$673,158
FY2032$3,769,443$729,054
FY2033$4,676,182$789,138

Each year’s gap includes the years before it; the second bar is the part that is new.

1 · The facts

  • $26,572,288

    the school budget, FY2027, as adopted

  • $932,531

    projected gap, FY2028 (ours)

    our estimate

  • $1,535,097

    projected gap, FY2029 (ours)

    our estimate

  • $572,717

    of it new in FY2029 (ours)

    our estimate

  • $4,676,182

    projected gap, FY2033 (ours)

    our estimate

  • 4.0% a year

    salary growth, assumed (ours)

    our estimate

  • 9.0% a year

    health insurance cost growth, assumed (ours)

    our estimate

  • —

    a published FY2028 school budget

    not published

2 · What it shows

  1. 1

    Each year’s gap holds the last: $572,717 of FY2029’s $1,535,097 is new that year.

  2. 2

    It assumes salaries grow 4.0% a year and health insurance 9.0% a year; both are ours.

  3. 3

    No board has published an FY2028 figure; this is our arithmetic on FY2027’s budget.

The projection, year by year (ours)
YearLevel service costRevenue for the schoolsGapNew that year
FY2028$28,361,267$27,428,736$932,531$932,531
FY2029$29,841,775$28,306,678$1,535,097$572,717
FY2030$31,411,702$29,206,656$2,205,046$621,142
FY2031$33,077,086$30,129,229$2,947,857$673,158
FY2032$34,844,413$31,074,970$3,769,443$729,054
FY2033$36,720,647$32,044,466$4,676,182$789,138

Our projection from the FY2027 adopted budget, at the rates model.json assumes.

Sources

What changed

Version 15 — updated September 20, 2026